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The market may be coming out of correction territory for now, but market turbulence is likely far from over.
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Warren Buffett is stepping down as Berkshire Hathaway’s CEO, but his investing lessons are timeless.
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He just gave us a perfect example of how to manage a portfolio for uncertain times.
Uncertainty has been the name of the game for stock and bond market investors this year. Trade policy, changing tariff plans, anticipated Federal Reserve moves, and questions about ongoing economic growth have created fear among market watchers.
These can be hazardous times for your financial health. They don’t need to be, though. In fact, if played correctly, down markets can be springboards for future gains and outperformance.
Most market followers know Warren Buffett is a master investor. So why not look to him for advice right now? Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) (NYSE: BRK.B) has made a big portfolio change in recent months. That now looks like a masterful move, and there are lessons here for all investors.
One of the most famous quotes about market fear came from Berkshire CEO Buffett. It was in his 1986 shareholder letter, when the markets were in the midst of a multi-year bull market. Buffett wrote, “Our goal is more modest: we simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.”
So things were good in 1986. Yet Buffett didn’t pour his available funds into a rising stock market. He also told investors this in that year’s shareholder letter:
Our main capital allocation moves in 1986 were to pay off debt and stockpile funds. Neither is a fate worse than death, but they do not inspire us to do handsprings either.
That’s a good playbook that every investor can follow. Raise some cash, pay down debt, and be patient during strong market periods. With the S&P 500 index soaring by more than 20% in 2023 and 2024, let’s look at what Buffett was doing in some detail.
Berkshire was holding a record $348 billion in cash as of the end of the first quarter. Much of that cash was accumulated last year. Let’s look at how Buffett’s company got here. It’s particularly relevant since Buffett would rather hold stocks than cash. In the 2024 shareholder letter, Buffett wrote, “Berkshire will never prefer ownership of cash-equivalent assets over the ownership of good businesses, whether controlled or only partially owned.”